MARKET REACTIONS TO THE RUSSIAN INVASION: A STUDY OF LQ-45 AND JII STOCKS
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.15575/fjsfm.v4i2.28964Keywords:
Abnormal return, Average abnormal return, Trading volume activity.Abstract
Investors who consider making an investment consider economic and non-economic market information. Information circulating can send signals that cause market reactions, such as the invasion of Ukraine by Russia. Investors may anticipate receiving bad news from this event. The aim of this research is to determine the impact of the Russian invasion of Ukraine on trading volume activity (TVA), average abnormal returns (AAR), and abnormal returns (AR). The presence of AR on the day of the event, as well as variations in AAR and TVA before and after the event, are indicators of impact. This study uses a quantitative approach. The population of this research is all companies registered in LQ-45 and the Jakarta Islamic Index (JII). An important finding from this research is that shares of companies included in the LQ-45 index have AR on Day 3; The AAR of companies listed in the LQ-45 and JII indices was less affected by the Russian invasion of Ukraine; and TVA shares of companies listed on the LQ-45 and JII indices were significantly impacted by Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The findings of this research indicate that investors must be more careful and vigilant when interacting with non-economic events that may contain information.References
Bakrie, C. R., Delanova, M. O., & Yani, Y. M. (2022). Perekonomian Negara Kawasan Asia Tenggara. Jurnal Caraka Prabu, 6(1), 65–86
Czech, K., Wielechowski, M., & Barichello, R. (2023). The shock of war: Do trade relations impact the reaction of stock markets to the Russian invasion of Ukraine? Ekonomista, 1, 14–27. https://doi.org/10.52335/ekon/161832
Diaconaşu, D. E., Mehdian, S. M., & Stoica, O. (2023). The reaction of financial markets to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine: Evidence from gold, oil, bitcoin, and major stock markets. Applied Economics Letters, 30(19), 2792–2796. https://doi.org/10.1080/13504851.2022.2107608
Gumanti, T. A. (2011). Manajemen Investasi: Konsep, Teori, dan Aplikasi. In Mitra Wacana Media.
Hidayatullah, F., & Maharani, S. (2022). Analisis Tingkat Kesehatan Bank Pembiayaan Rakyat Syariah di Jawa Timur Sebelum dan Selama Pandemi Covid-19. Journal of Economics, Law, and Humanities, 1(1), 1–22.
Husnatarina, F., Arafah, Muh., Andiyan, A., Azmi, Z., Suzana, Y., & Hartati, A. (2022). The Influence of Investor Intrinsic Motivation on Islamic Stock Investment Decision Making: International Conference on Social, Economics, Business, and Education (ICSEBE 2021). https://doi.org/10.2991/aebmr.k.220107.008
Jan, N., Jain, V., Li, Z., Sattar, J., & Tongkachok, K. (2022). Post-COVID-19 investor psychology and individual investment decision: A moderating role of information availability. Frontiers in Psychology, 13, 846088. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2022.846088
Kusuma, D., Zahra, S., Apriyadi, M., & Siregar, B. (2022). Reaksi Pasar Modal Indonesia Terhadap Peristiwa Perang Rusia Dan Ukraina. Jurnal Ilmiah MEA ( Manajemen , Ekonomi , Dan Akuntansi ), 6(3), 420–435.
Machfudi, M., & Isynuwardhana, D. (2023). Analisis Reaksi Pasar Modal terhadap Peristiwa Perang Rusia dan Ukraina ( Studi Kasus pada Saham Perusahaan Sektor Energi yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia ). E-Proceeding of Management, 10(4), 2073–2079.
Marheni, D. K. (2021). The Analysis of Factors that Influencing Investors Decision of Stock Investment in Batam. https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/The-Analysis-of-Factors-that-Influencing-Investors-Marheni/ 802e3da133e02e9dcb96050e4abd733e873008a9
Nasution, Y. S. J. (2017). Hypothesis Pasar Efisien/Efficient Market Hypothesis (Pasal Modal menurut Teori Fama dan Pandangan Islam). Jurnal Perspektif Ekonomi Darussalam, 1(1), 25–43. https://doi.org/10.24815/jped.v1i1.6518
Nathaniel Kurniawan, S., & Sudirman, I. M. S. N. (2023). Dampak Invasi Rusia Ke Ukraina Terhadap Abnormal Return Saham Emiten Migas Di Bursa Efek Indonesia Tahun 2022. E-Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Bisnis Universitas Udayana, 12(03), 398–406. https://doi.org/10.24843/EEB.2023.v12.i03.p04
Neely, C. J. (2022). Financial market reactions to the Russian invasion of Ukraine. https://doi.org/10.20955/wp.2022.032
Newswire. (2022). Dampak Perang Rusia Vs Ukraina terhadap Perekonomian Indonesia. Bisnis.Com.
Pakederan, F., Mangantar, M., & Rumokoy, L. J. (2023). The Reaction Of Indonesian Capital Market To The Russian Invasion On Ukraine (Event Study On Companies Listed In The Food and Beverage Sector Of the Indonesia Stock Exchange). Jurnal EMBA : Jurnal Riset Ekonomi, Manajemen, Bisnis Dan Akuntansi, 11(3), 494–501. https://doi.org/10.35794/emba.v11i3.49853
Rahmawati, Y. (2018). Relevansi Nilai Pengetahuan Tentang Investasi dan Manfaatnya Bagi Investor Kelompok Mahasiswa FEBI IAIN Ponorogo. ACTIVA: Jurnal Ekonomi Syariah, 1(2), 54–74.
Silva, T. C., Wilhelm, P. V. B., & Tabak, B. M. (2023). Trade matters except to war neighbors: The international stock market reaction to 2022 Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Research in International Business and Finance, 65, 101935. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2023.101935
Sorongan, T. P., & Sef, S. (2022, February). Ini Awal Mula Perang Rusia-Ukraina, Akankah Segera Berakhir? CNBC Indonesia, 1–4.
Surnyani, A., & Wiarta, I. (2022). Volatilitas Indeks IDXMESBUMN Sebelum dan Setelah Invansi Militer Rusia ke Ukraina. J-Mas, 7(2), 1316–1318. https://doi.org/10.33087/jmas.v7i2.595
Thevaruban, J. S. (2022). The Impact of Behavioural Factors on Individual Investors’ Investment Decision Making in Colombo Stock Exchange: Special Reference to Northern Province – Sri Lanka. International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, 06(12), 42–53. https://doi.org/10.47772/IJRISS.2022.61206
Wartindas, M. S., Komalasari, A., & Dharma, F. (2023). Capital Market Reaction to the Announcement of the Russian Invasion to Ukraine (Case Study on Energy Industry Companies in ASEAN). International Journal of Business and Applied Economics, 2(3), 447–460. https://doi.org/10.55927/ijbae.v2i3.4342
Weixiang, S., Qamruzzaman, M., Rui, W., & Kler, R. (2022). An empirical assessment of financial literacy and behavioral biases on investment decision: Fresh evidence from small investor perception. Frontiers in Psychology, 13, 977444. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2022.977444
Widioatmodjo, S. (2015). Pengetahuan Pasar Modal Untuk Konteks Indonesia. PT Elex Media Komputindo.
Yudaruddin, R., & Lesmana, D. (2023). Banking sector’s reaction during the Russian invasion of Ukraine: Who reacted the most? Journal of Economic Studies. https://doi.org/10.1108/JES-04-2023-0206
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
- Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work (See The Effect of Open Access).