The Role of Islamic Banks’ Profitability on Indonesia’s Economic Growth: A CAMELS and Endogenous Growth Model Analysis

Authors

  • Heri Nugraha Universitas Koperasi Indonesia, Indonesia
  • Eka Setiajatnika Universitas Koperasi Indonesia, Indonesia
  • Muhamad Ardi Nupi Hasyim Universitas Koperasi Indonesia, Indonesia
  • Franklin Kharisma Genta Universitas Koperasi Indonesia, Indonesia

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.15575/jieb.v5i2.49830

Keywords:

Islamic Banking, Profitability, Economics Growth, CAMELS Framework, Indonesia

Abstract

This study examines the role of Islamic banking profitability in Indonesia’s economic growth using the CAMELS framework and an endogenous growth perspective. The analysis focuses on profitability as the main mechanism linking Islamic banking performance to real sector development during the COVID-19 pandemic and the subsequent economic recovery period. The study uses annual data from 2020 to 2023 obtained from the Financial Services Authority, Bank Indonesia, Statistics Indonesia, and the World Bank. The analytical methods include descriptive statistics, correlation and stationarity tests, and regression estimation using Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and the System Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) to address potential endogeneity. The empirical results show that Islamic banking profitability, particularly Return on Equity (ROE), has a positive and statistically significant effect on Indonesia’s economic growth. Return on Assets (ROA) also exhibits a positive relationship with growth, although with weaker statistical significance. Other CAMELS indicators, including capital adequacy, asset quality, efficiency, and liquidity, do not have a significant direct impact on economic growth but serve as stabilizing factors for the banking system. Inflation has a negative and significant effect on economic growth, while investment shows a positive but statistically insignificant relationship. Overall, the findings confirm that profitability is the primary channel through which Islamic banking contributes to national economic growth. This study positions profitability as an explanatory variable rather than merely a performance indicator and reinforces the relevance of endogenous growth theory in the context of Islamic banking in Indonesia. Policy implications emphasize the importance of strengthening Islamic banking profitability to enhance its contribution to sustainable economic growth.

References

Aditya, K., Dahire, A., & Kumari, A. (2024). NPA and Profitability In Indian Scheduled Commercial Banks: Dynamic Panel Data Estimation Using GMM. ShodhKosh: Journal of Visual and Performing Arts, 5(6). https://doi.org/10.29121/shodhkosh.v5.i6.2024.5030

Alam, M. J., Sarwar, Dr. A., Mahmood, Dr. A., & Khattak, Dr. A. N. (2025). CAMELS Based Rating: Comparative Analysis of Conventional Banks (CBs) and Islamic Banks (IBs) in Pakistan. Research Journal for Social Affairs, 3(5), 753–774. https://doi.org/10.71317/RJSA.003.05.0372

Arafat, W., Bing, Z. Y., & Al-Mutawakel, O. (2017). Infrastructure Developing and Economic Growth in United Arab Emirates. Business and Economic Research, 8(1), 95. https://doi.org/10.5296/ber.v8i1.12355

Asmi, A. M. S. Al, Fahmy-Abdullah, M., & Sieng, L. W. (2024). A Study on The Cost And Profit Efficiency of Islamic and Conventional Bank Islamic Windows in Oman: A Proposed Framework. Revista de Gestão Social e Ambiental, 18(2), e06036. https://doi.org/10.24857/rgsa.v18n2-102

Ate, N., & Chasani, M. T. (2025). Pemikiran Umar Chapra Tentang Hakikat Riba: Analisis Ekonomi Dan Etika Dalam Sistem Keuangan Islam. El-Wasathy: Journal of Islamic Studies, 3(1), 1–13. https://doi.org/10.61693/elwasathy.vol31.2025.1-13

Athanasoglou, P. P., Brissimis, S. N., & Delis, M. (2005). Bank-Specific, Industry-Specific and Macroeconomic Determinants of Bank Profitability. SSRN Electronic Journal. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4162071

B. Sudheer Kumar, & Dr. Chokkamreddy Prakash. (2025). A Comparative Study on Financial Performance of SBI and ICICI Bank Using the CAMELS Framework. International Journal of Emerging Technologies and Innovative Research, 129–142. https://doi.org/10.48175/IJARSCT-28313

Bank Indonesia. (2024). Kajian Ekonomi Dan Keuangan Syariah Indonesia : Sinergi Ekonomi Dan Keuangan Syariah Memperkuat Stabilitas Dan Transformasi Ekonomi Nasional. Bank Indonesia. https://www.bi.go.id/id/publikasi/laporan/Pages/KEKSI_2024.aspx

Bernot, A., Tjondronegoro, D., Rifai, B., Hasan, R., Liew, A. W.-C., Verhelst, T., & Tiwari, M. (2024). Institutional Dimensions in Open Government Data: A Deep Dive Into Indonesia’s Satu Data Initiative and Its Implications for Developing Countries. Public Performance & Management Review, 47(6), 1399–1429. https://doi.org/10.1080/15309576.2024.2377609

Bertocco, G., & Kalajzić, A. (2024). Schumpeter and the post‐Keynesian monetary theory. Metroeconomica, 75(4), 546–567. https://doi.org/10.1111/meca.12466

Boboev, G. (2025). Modern Evolutionary And Institutional Approaches To The Analysis Of Economic Growth In The Context Of Global Instability. Russian Journal of Management, 13(5), 110–127. https://doi.org/10.29039/2500-1469-2025-13-5-110-127

Boukhatem, J., & Ben Moussa, F. (2025). Financial Inclusion, Institutional Quality, And Economic Growth In MENA Countries: Some Evidence From Panel Cointegration. Macroeconomics And Finance In Emerging Market Economies, 18(2), 319–342. https://doi.org/10.1080/17520843.2023.2284455

Chapra, M., Khan, T., & Spéciale, E. (2008). Reglementation Et Controle Des Banques Islamiques (Regulasi & Pengawasan Bank Syariah). 3.

Chintagunta, P. K. (2001). Endogeneity and Heterogeneity in a Probit Demand Model: Estimation Using Aggregate Data. Marketing Science, 20(4), 442–456. https://doi.org/10.1287/mksc.20.4.442.9751

Demirguc-Kunt, A., Beck, T., & Levine, R. (2003). Small and Medium Enterprises, Growth, and Poverty: Cross-Country Evidence. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/256066481_Small_and_Medium_Enterprises_Growth_and_Poverty_Cross-Country_Evidence

Hamida, H., & Indah Lestari, W. (2025). Market Concentration, Asset Growth, And Islamic Bank Performance In Indonesia: A Panel Data Approach With NPF As Moderator. Journal of Institution and Sharia Finance, 8(1), 48–66. https://doi.org/10.24256/joins.v8i1.6967

Hussien, M. E., Alam, Md. M., Murad, W., & Abu N.M. Wahid. (2019). The Performance of Islamic Banks during the 2008 Global Financial Crisis: Evidence from the Gulf Cooperation Council Countries. https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/vahtz

International Bank for Reconstruction and Development. (2023). Indonesia Economic Prospects The Invisible Toll Of Covid-19 On Learning June 2023. www.worldbank.org

Islamic Financial Services Board. (2021). Islamic Financial Services Industry Stability Report. https://www.ifsb.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/Islamic-Financial-Services-Industry-Stability-Report-2021_En.pdf

Khan, S., Abdul Wahab, & Ullah, I. (2025). The impact of Islamic banking on financial inclusion: A study on the effects of Islamic banking in Muslim-Majority countries. Social Sciences Spectrum, 4(1), 660–675. https://doi.org/10.71085/sss.04.01.249

Komite Nasional Keuangan Syariah (KNKS). (2019). Masterplan Ekonomi Syariah Indonesia 2019-2024 (MEKSI) : Hasil Kajian Analisis Ekonomi Syariah di Indonesia. Kementerian Perencanaan Pembangunan Nasional/ Badan Perencanaan Pembangunan Nasional. https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&opi=89978449&url=https://kneks.go.id/storage/upload/1573459280-Masterplan%2520Eksyar_Preview.pdf&ved=2ahUKEwjFqeW218aPAxUO3TgGHSDIGPMQFnoECAoQAQ&usg=AOvVaw20nHDsQxaS1qm8iuTjI_-_

Ledhem, M. A., & Mekidiche, M. (2020). Economic Growth And Financial Performance Of Islamic Banks: A CAMELS Approach. Islamic Economic Studies, 28(1), 47–62. https://doi.org/10.1108/IES-05-2020-0016

Ledhem, M. A., & Mekidiche, M. (2021). Islamic Finance And Economic Growth Nexus: An Empirical Evidence From Southeast Asia Using Dynamic Panel One-Step System GMM Analysis. Journal of Islamic Accounting and Business Research, 12(8), 1165–1180. https://doi.org/10.1108/JIABR-03-2021-0107

Majid, N. H. A., Mohd Yusof, R., Abd. Wahab, N., Abdul Rahim, M. A. A., Wiranatakusuma, D. B., & Tasman, S. M. (2025). Understanding Resilience Of Islamic Banking Amid COVID-19: A Systematic Literature Review Of Banking, Macroeconomic, And Risk Factors. Journal of Islamic Accounting and Business Research. https://doi.org/10.1108/JIABR-10-2023-0356

Mannan, K. A., Farhana, K. M., & Chowdhury, G. M. O. F. (2021). Socio-economic Factors of Tax Compliance: An Empirical Study of Individual Taxpayers in the Dhaka Zones, Bangladesh. The Munich Personal RePEc Archive (MPRA), 48(6), 36–47.

Mohamed, N. M. A., Kamal, K. M. M., Bin Amin, M. F., Idris, E.-W., & Binsuwadan, J. (2025). Cultural Openness and Consumption Behavior in the MENA Region: A Dynamic Panel Analysis Using the GMM. Sustainability, 17(15), 6656. https://doi.org/10.3390/su17156656

Nisa’, K., Andriansyah, Y., & Hasan, B. B. (2023). Determinants of profitability in Indonesian Islamic banks: Financial and macroeconomic insights. Journal of Islamic Economics Lariba, 9(2), 567–590. https://doi.org/10.20885/jielariba.vol9.iss2.art14

Otoritas Jasa Keuangan (OJK) Republik Indonesia. (2025). Laporan Perkembangan Keuangan Syariah Indonesia (LPKSI). https://ojk.go.id/id/kanal/syariah/data-dan-statistik/laporan-perkembangan-keuangan-syariah-indonesia/default.aspx?TSPD_101_R0=08ddaa397bab20003aaffce659951985aede2ebc11277adcc587c63b1b152814f6fe0d5b49edb596085f01dbcc143000de93bdcd912ede5aa6c97b441d0e3627bc2aec0432ecf441c38107a48474e10412d1a75babfe6c66a1c909bedb42653f

Rajesh Dey. (2025). The Application of Predictive Learning in Islamic Finance. Journal of Information Systems Engineering and Management, 10(26s), 805–815. https://doi.org/10.52783/jisem.v10i26s.4287

Sa’diyah, R., & Nasrulloh, N. (2025). Analysis of the Influence of Macroeconomic Variables and Internal Bank Performance on the Profitability of Islamic Banking in Indonesia. MAKSIMUM, 15(1), 121. https://doi.org/10.26714/mki.15.1.2025.121-139

Sandia, S., Ascarya, A., & Sulaeman, S. (2025). Examining profit-sharing financing dynamics in Indonesian Islamic banking: ECM and ARDL approaches. Jurnal Ekonomi & Keuangan Islam, 211–226. https://doi.org/10.20885/JEKI.vol11.iss2.art4

Srairi, S. (2024). The Impact of Corporate Governance on Bank Risk-taking: Evidence of Islamic Banks in Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Countries. International Journal of Islamic Finance and Sustainable Development, 16(3), 4–22. https://doi.org/10.55188/ijifsd.v16i3.899

Thach, N. N. (2020). Endogenous Economic Growth: The Arrow-Romer Theory and a Test on Vietnamese Economy. WSEAS Transactions On Business And Economics, 17, 374–386. https://doi.org/10.37394/23207.2020.17.37

Wardana, G. K., & Lestari, R. D. (2025). The Profitability of Islamic Banking in the World: Liquidity, Company Size, and Capital Adequacy. Indonesian Journal of Banking and Financial Technology, 3(3), 245–258. https://doi.org/10.55927/fintech.v3i3.70

Downloads

Published

2026-01-12

How to Cite

Heri Nugraha, Eka Setiajatnika, Muhamad Ardi Nupi Hasyim, & Franklin Kharisma Genta. (2026). The Role of Islamic Banks’ Profitability on Indonesia’s Economic Growth: A CAMELS and Endogenous Growth Model Analysis. Journal of Islamic Economics and Business, 5(2), 401–421. https://doi.org/10.15575/jieb.v5i2.49830

Citation Check